Best Bets for NFL Week #2

NFL Sep 18, 2020

Previous week´s record: 2-1

Overall record: 2-1

Tennessee Titans and usually-reliable kicker Stephen Gostkowski seemed hellbent on having us start out the season with a losing record by missing…three! field goals AND an extra point last Monday night, but the Denver Broncos proved to be even more inept at home as Gostkowski barely came through for us in a 16-14 Titans win.

Only the Dolphins let us down as our upset pick, reminding me to never expect the Dolphins to exceed any kind of expectations so long as Ryan Fitzpatrick is their starting quarterback.

Anyway, Week 2 is full of promise and I’m here to let you know which games to wager on as the season gains steam and we get to know the contenders and pretenders a little bit more.

All numbers taken from play.spreads.ca and are accurate as of Friday morning. Odds for this week’s 3-game parlay taking the Bucs and Seahawks with the points and the Raiders straightup are currently +1055. Lock in your bets now!

Here's a closer look at the odds, along with my best bets for NFL Week #2.

+9.5 Carolina Panthers (0-1) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-1)

Tom Brady’s first game in Tampa as a Buccaneer sees his team as comfortable favourites against a Panthers team that allowed 34 points at home against the Las Vegas Raiders last Sunday, allowing Derek Carr to dissect them completing 22 of his 30 passes for 239 yards and a touchdown.

Carr found receiver Henry Ruggs for a big 45-yard play in that game, and I expect Brady to pick on the Carolina cornerbacks even more regardless of whether slot receiver Chris Godwin (concussion) plays or not.

Bucs receiver Chris Evans will have his chance to shine, as there is no chance in hell Brady allows his team to go 0-2.

My pick: Buccaneers  30 – 20  Panthers


+4.0 New England Patriots (1-0) @ Seattle Seahawks (1-0, -4)

I’m not sure how many times NBC will show the Malcom Butler interception in the Super Bowl before and during the game, but I would bet the over on that.

As far as what concerns us on the actual field, the Seahawks won’t allow the Patriots to run roughshod over them like Belichick’s team did over the Dolphins racking up 217 yards in an opening week victory.

The Seahawks already have tape on Cam Newton as a Patriot and only allowed 72 rushing yards at Atlanta, fourth best mark in the league, last week. That is a stark improvement compared to the 117.7 (22nd in the NFL) they averaged last year.

Besides, Russell Wilson may be the best quarterback in the world right now and I will take him over Cam any day.  Especially in Seattle.

My pick:  Seahawks  27 – 21  Patriots


MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICK

-5.5 New Orleans Saints (1-0) @ Las Vegas Raiders (1-0)

Upset Pick of the Day!

No Michael Thomas, no problem for Drew Brees and the Saints? Not quite. They may not be as screwed as my fantasy team, but Brees only passed for 160 yards and had a QB rating of 96.5 against the Buccaneers, who had the third worst pass defense in the league last season. Working out the kinks without Thomas on the road will make things a bit harder.

Besides, the Raiders will be pumped up for their first game ever in Las Vegas even if they don’t get to play in front of the sold-out crowd they envisioned.  The Killers, by the way, are a stellar choice of halftime entertainment as the best band from Las Vegas of the 2000s.

Carr avoids turnovers for the second consecutive week and the Raiders go all-in against the Saints offense to hit the jackpot at home in a lower scoring affair than we would normally anticipate.

My pick:  Take the home underdog.  Raiders  24 – 21  Saints

-- Analysis by El Hombre


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