Best Bets of the Day: Monday, Nov. 30, 2020

Other Nov 30, 2020

Previous Day’s Record: 2-0-1
Overall: 23-20-4

As 2020 enters its final month and slowly but mercifully comes to an end, we can say that the return of sports has been a mostly positive one all over the world if you consider the enormous hurdles each and every sport had to overcome with or without a bubble.

Let’s appreciate that as we try to continue the roll we were in last week with an undefeated slate.

Leicester (1.51) vs Fulham (6.50) Draw (4.45)

Leicester City ate a big slice of humble pie with a 3-0 loss at Anfield last Sunday, but they are twice as good as their opponent today.  No, really, they are literally twice as good with 18 goals scored compared to the paltry nine that Fulham has scored so far this season.  

That explains why one of them is in fourth place and aiming to join Tottenham and Liverpool with their seventh win in 10 matches while the other is next to last with a lone victory in Matchday 7 against West Bromwich.  In fact, West Brom would fall into the dreaded relegation zone and Fulham would breathe a little if they manage to pull off the upset.  They won’t, though.  

My pick: Leicester 3 – 0 Fulham

West Ham (2.35) vs Aston Villa (3.05) Draw (3.50)

This one is tougher to call since both teams are eminently mediocre, and the road team is favored to come away with three points on Monday night.  

Aston Villa’s +8 goal differential is better than Liverpool’s +5, but they can’t be trusted after throwing away the momentum of the 3-0 victory on the road at Arsenal with an incomprehensible 2-1 defeat at home against…Brighton?  For shame, Aston Villa.

West Ham is riding the very shallow wave of consecutive wins over 19th-place Fulham and cellar dweller Sheffield United.  What is noticeable about the Hammers, however, is that they have the second best defense in the EPL with barely 10 goals allowed, one more than Tottenham’s league-best nine.  Such parity only leads me to one conclusion:  Neither team will get what it wants, but Aston Villa will leave slightly happier with a point in hostile territory.

My pick: West Ham 1 – 1 Aston Villa

BONUS PICK:

Porto (6.00) vs Manchester City (1.62) Draw (4.05)

RIP, Diego Armando Maradona.  The best of all-time, the magician that made grown men cry with the way that he forged forward and dodged one, two, three, four, five, six defenders intent on taking him down but also mesmerized by the ball inseparably at his feet. His feet, and no one else’s, because true love was defined by the romance between Maradona and the sport that is now widowed by his
passing.

I have no particular analysis to provide about this match. Manchester City is one of only three 4-0 teams in the tournament (Bayern Munich, Barcelona) and they should continue dominating Group C.

I only hope that Sergio Agüero, Maradona’s son-in-law starts for the first time  this season after his cameo against Olympiakos and not playing last Saturday for “precautionary reasons.”  I hope he scores, and I hope that he can dedicate that goal to his son Benjamin and the father-in-law that allowed him to play in his first ever World Cup back in 2010.

My pick: Porto 1 – 2 Manchester City

-- by El Hombre

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Photo Credit:  EUkicks.com

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