Betting Week 5 in the CFL

Oh-Canada Jul 07, 2022

Three Games in Three Nights and One Thursday Night Game Prediction

Note: analyzes and makes predictions on CFL games each week. So far in the 2022 regular season, our picks are 6 wins and 6 losses (-0.60 units). What follows is our writeup and CFL predictions and picks for games played in Week 5.

We suffered a tough Week 4.  Our picks went 1-4.  We lost one game by a half point, and another in the closing seconds on a backdoor cover.  But those are the breaks when betting sports and CFL football.  

On to Week 5!

Starting Thursday night, the CFL schedule includes 3 games played over the next 3 nights.  In this article, we look at the Thursday night matchup.

Here's a look at the current numbers at SPREADS.CA:

Predictions (powered by

Good vs. Bad: Stamps Take On Elks

Week 5 action in the CFL kicks off Thursday night with an apparent mismatch as the undefeated Calgary Stampeders (3-0) face the Edmonton Elks (1-3).

Edmonton may be in last place in the tough West, but they are 2-2 versus the spread. Making matters tougher for the Elks, the Stamps will be coming out of their bye week. Calgary already won the previous meeting against the Elks in Week 3. The final score of that game was 30-23, but Calgary failed to cover the spread as -9.5 point favourites.

If there's such a thing as "winning ugly," that's been the Stampeders' style, thus far. No worries, they'll take it. In fact, Calgary trailed in all three contests at the half to date and has barely outscored the opposition by a combined 13 points total. That probably explains why the spread is only -3 points, a near touchdown drop from the previous matchup only a few weeks ago.

The kickoff in Edmonton is at 7:00 pm MST. The Elks are getting a field goal at home, while the O/U is very high at 50.5.

Our Prediction:  

This game total is lined too high for a couple of reasons.

While these clubs are a combined 5-1 to the OVER this season, that's jacked up the betting total to an unrealistic projection.

But the major reason we like the UNDER 50.5 is the weather forecast. Bettors should pay attention to weather forecasts leading up to the kickoff, as rainy and windy conditions may be a factor. Thunderstorms are expected and wind gusts could reach 40 mph, potentially hampering both passing attacks.

As UNDER bettors we say, "let it rain and make those winds howl!"

Upcoming Games:

As for Friday night's game between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the Ottawa Redblacks, please check back on Friday morning for our prediction.

As for Saturday's night's game between the BC Lions and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, we'll feature that game in a special article to be posted Friday night.