On Thursday night, the upset-minded Montreal Alouettes will host the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers. This is the first of four games scheduled in CFL Week 9.
The Montreal Alouettes (2-5) will host the mighty Winnipeg Blue Bombers (8-0) on Thursday night as the CFL kicks off Week 9 action at Molson Stadium.
The Blue Bombers hope to build on their undefeated record, which is the franchise's first 8-0 start since 1960. There's already some talk about this team finishing the regular season with an unblemished record – which is clearly a possibility the way Winnipeg is playing.
Meanwhile, the Montreal Alouettes desperately need a win after losing 3 of their last 4 games. Nothing would inspire more team confidence than pulling off the upset versus the reigning Grey Cup champions.
The schedule certainly works in the Alouettes' favour. Winnipeg is coming off a near-perfect game, which was an impressive 35-28 beatdown of Calgary. But this will also be a quick turnaround for the Blue Bombers, which just played on Saturday night and could still be aching. This will also be their third straight road contest. Winning and covering is asking a lot of the Blue Bombers feeling possible fatigue, which makes Montreal probably worth a serious look when it comes to placing a wager.
Kickoff in Montreal is at 7:30 pm EST.
Spreads.ca lists the Blue Bombers as 5.5-point favourites. The O/U is 47.5. Here's the odds on all CFL games for Week 9:
Some Stats and Trends
Winnipeg is an impressive 35-17 ATS in their last 52 road games. The Alouettes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games but just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. The under is 17-8-1 in the Blue Bombers last 26 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Alouettes last 5 games. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in Montreal and 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Winnipeg has won 16 of their last 18 regular season games. QB Zach Collaros is completing 70 percent of his passes for 1,994 yards, 15 touchdowns, and just 5 interceptions. Dalton Schoen and Greg Ellingson have combined for 1,101 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Rasheed Bailey has 25 receptions. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers ground game is averaging 93 yards per contest, and Brady Oliveira leads the way with 368 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Winnipeg is impressive, as well, allowing just 18 points and 363 yards per game.
Montreal has lost 8 of their last 11 regular season games. QB Trevor Harris is completing 68 percent of his passes for 1,600 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Eugene Lewis and Reggie White Jr. have combined for 986 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Hergy Mayala has 15 receptions. The Montreal Alouettes ground game is averaging 90 yards per contest, and Jeshrun Antwi leads the way with 319 yards on 48 carries. Defensively, Montreal is allowing 28 points and 371 yards per game.
It's tough to go against the numbers cited above, which mostly favour Winnipeg. No doubt, the proven Blue Bombers are more than 5.5 points superior to the inconsistent Alouettes on any given date or venue.
However, this is a real flat spot for the champs. The short week, the contentment with a perfect 8-0 record, their almost-certain CFL best record, and a general sense of confidence could trigger a surprise here where it's least expected. Add some possible fatigue, and we have what's called a "live dog," capable of winning outright.
Montreal has no problem scoring points (25 PPG) and could give Winnipeg a run for their money, which means we're putting our money on the Alouettes and taking +5.5 points.
Side Note: The Alouettes's owner Gary Stern believes team will beat the undefeated Blue Bombers and even said so in the media [READ STORY HERE]. That's not usually anything meaningful, but we do agree that this is a great spot for the Alouettes as home underdogs.
Final Score Prediction: Let's call this one 27-25 for Winnipeg, but we also won't be shocked if the Blue Bombers suffer their first loss here.