Blue Jays-Orioles Series Features Two Rising Teams

MLB Aug 09, 2022

Blue Jays vs. Orioles – Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Is There Any Value for this AL East Showdown?



Wednesday night's decisive finale in the three-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (60-49) and Baltimore Orioles (57-52) should be one of the best games of the week in Major League Baseball.

The Jays have gone 17-7 in their last 24 games while the Orioles have risen from the dead as the surprise team of the season, winners of 22 of their last 30. Something has to give in this midweek matchup.

While both contenders may have too much ground to make up to catch the first-place Yankees (holding a 10+ game lead in the AL East), the wild card chase is well underway and Toronto and Baltimore hope to fill two of those slots.

The first pitch gets thrown out on Wednesday at 4:05 pm EDT at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore.



Prediction (powered by Pointspreads.ca):

The Jays are expected to start RHP Jose Berrios (8-4, 5.19 ERA, 107 SO) vs. the Orioles; RHP Dean Kremer (4-3, 3.43 ERA, 43 SO). Both hurlers have been in good form recently so it's tough to pick a side.

It's also difficult to make a prediction on the total since there's conflicting data. The under has gone 14-7 in Berrios's 21 starts this season while Toronto is on an 8-4 under trend in their last dozen outings. However, before we jump on a tempting under consider that overs have cashed in 6 of the previous 7 starts by Kremer and Baltimore is also on a 7-3 over run.

If betting the game, consider taking the underdog on the runline (+1.5). We make this prediction based on two factors:

-- First, both pitchers could turn this into a low-scoring affair.  These are both above-average starters.

-- Second, these two teams play more close games than average. The average MLB team has played in 30 1-run games: However, Toronto has played in 38; Baltimore has played in 34 this season.

The pick: Dog on the runline.

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