When two bad teams play against each other, that's sometimes a terrific game to wager on – as this week's Edmonton-Montreal game in the CFL reveals.
Week 6 in the CFL kicks off this Thursday night with a matchup between two of the league's worst teams as the Montreal Alouettes (1-3) host the Edmonton Elks (1-4).
Things are so bad in Montreal right now that the head coach was fired last week even though the Als are only a half-game back in the woeful East standings (behind Toronto).
As for Edmonton. this is a last-place team going nowhere having given up twice as many points as they've scored this season.
Given these dire circumstances, how can either team inspire any confidence with a wager? We'll answer that shortly.
Thursday night's kickoff takes place at 7:30 pm EST.
Here's a look at all the CFL lines for Week 6 at Spreads.ca:
Prediction (powered by Pointspreads.ca):
While bettors might be swayed to pass on this game between two bad teams, we see an enticing wagering opportunity.
Spreads.ca lists Montreal as an 8-point favourite which seems like way too many points for a team in such disarray (the O/U is 49).
Betting on Edmonton requires intestinal fortitude given how badly they're performed in 4 out of 5 games. Nonetheless, we can't see any justification for making the Alouettes this high of a favourite.
Yes, Montreal is the more talented team, and Edmonton may not come away with a win, but we do expect the Elks to cover the spread in a closer game than the line indicates.
The pick: Edmonton +8.