NFL Week #6 — Sunday Night Football Prop Bets
On Sunday night we will see the first match-up of the season between the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers.
One year after going to the Super Bowl, the 49ers find themselves at 2-3 and at the bottom of the NFC West. A lot of that can be attributed to injuries, particularly on the defensive side of the football--on Sunday they'll be without Nick Bosa, Kwon Alexander, Dee Ford and Richard Sherman.
For the Rams, they come in fully healthy on the offensive side and will look to take an early lead and make the 49ers throw more than they want to.
Based on how I expect this game to play out, I have determined my five favourite prop bets for Sunday Night Football.
George Kittle -- Over 5.5 Receptions (-140)
George Kittle -- Over 63.5 Rec. Yards (-120)
George Kittle -- Anytime TD (+140)
As you can see, I am a big fan of Kittle in this matchup. If San Francisco ends up having a tough time slowing the Rams offence down, Kittle should see a ton of volume in the passing game. He's got a really good matchup against Rams' linebacker Kenny Young. Young ranks 42nd/74 in terms of pass coverage at the linebacker position (per Pro Football Focus). That's going to be trouble as he matches up against one of the NFL's best tight ends.
In addition to a good game script and a good matchup, Kittle always seems to play his best in primetime. Dating back to the start of last season (not including the playoffs), Kittle has averaged 8.7 targets, 7.5 receptions and 104.3 receiving yards while scoring touchdowns in five of six primetime games. He's going to need to be great if the 49ers are going to beat the Rams at home.
Cooper Kupp -- Over 67.5 Rec. Yds (-115)
Speaking of a good matchup, few WR have as good of a matchup in Week 6 as Kupp (per PFF). Kupp, who lines up in the slot ≈60 percent of the time will see a lot of Jamar Taylor, who was just called up from the practice squad and has been thrust into duty because of all of the 49ers' injuries in the secondary. Kupp, who is seeing a target on 24 percent of his routes, should feast in this matchup. He comes in averaging 5.6 receptions and 72.6 receiving yards per game after five weeks.
Deebo Samuel -- Over 3.5 Receptions (-140)
Samuel missed the first three weeks of the season, was eased back into action in Week 4, but saw 89 percent of the snaps last week. Samuel appears to be back at full health and is coming off of a game where he saw eight targets. If the 49ers were trailing to the Dolphins, you have to think the game script will be similar vs. the visiting Rams. When Jimmy Garoppolo isn't looking Kittle's way, expect him to go to Deebo. If he sees another eight targets, he should go over 3.5 receptions easily.