Jags Hope to Deplane the Jets on Thursday Night Football

NFL Dec 21, 2022

The Jacksonville Jaguars (6-8) play the New York Jets (7-7) on Thursday Night Football in the first matchup of NFL Week 16.

[TNF] Jacksonville at NY Jets
Line: Jets -1
O/U: 37

Game Analysis:

This Thursday Night NFL game could be a treat.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are playing with confidence.  They're coming off a thrilling 40-34 overtime victory against the Dallas Cowboys last week.  The Jaguars have won consecutive games for the first time since Weeks 2 and 3 of this season.  The cats are also a very respectable 4-1-1 ATS in their past 6 games.

The New York Jets lost a heartbreaker 20-17 to the surging Detroit Lions last Sunday.  After a hot early start, they fell to 7-7 on the season. The Jets have now dropped three games in a row, but were close one-score games.  The Jets are probably down to their last chance to make any playoff run, and must win on Thursday night given how other teams in the conference are playing. This might be the last possible win given the Jets will face road games at Seattle and Miami in their final two games.



Line Analysis:

If QB Mike White was starting, we might be less inclined to fade the Jets.  But Zach Wilson is probably a good bet-against given what we've seen.  As this is being posted Wednesday night, the Jets QB position still up in the air and will be a gametime decision.  

In fact, we're surprised the line didn't move a few points since White is still listed as doubtful with a rib injury.  Yeah, we know this kid is tough as nails, but it seems unwise to rush him back into action, especially given this is a very short week (Thursday night game).  

As for betting on JAX and going against NYJ, we're concerned about the solid Jets' stout defense, which has kept this inconsistent team in many games this season.  Credit the Jets for keeping 8 of their last 10 opponents to 20 points or fewer.

However, the performance of the Jags has simply beeb more impressive.  We certainly like Lawrence better than Wilson when it comes to backing talent.  

The line --getting a point-- looks like a gift.

Weather shouldn't be a factor (temperatures in mid-40s at kickoff).

The Pick:

The Jaguars have defeated three playoff-bound teams in 3 of their last 4 games -- beating the Baltimore Ravens, Tennessee Titans and Dallas Cowboys.  It's the quality of competition the cats have beaten that's worth notice.  And now, they face a team that's been struggling.  

The line getting a point looks like a gift. Weather shouldn't be a factor (temperatures in mid-40s at kickoff).  

We'll take Jacksonville +1.