Analytics are a very useful tool when handicapping any sport, and especially NHL games. This is due to the length of the season and having lots of data to examine.
The more data we have, the more likely the results are to be accurate insofar as predicting future outcomes. However, we should also be aware of teams that change thier personnel and styles. Injuries happen and coaches get fired. These things can and do disrupt patterns related to analytics.
Many websites exists which provide reliable analytics. I suggest looking at season-long data, as well as shorter-term data. Short term data means within the last 5 of 10 games (some sites show more recent results, which should be weighed into handciapping since teams will often improve or decline as the season goes along).
Now, more than four months into the 2021 season, we have a wealth of information that's available to us.
Yesterday, we examined PUCKLINE RESULTS. Today, we will look at over/unders (or totals).
Here's the latest data from a site called EV Analytics:
ALL O/U RESULTS (TOTALS)
Here are a few major takeaways, keeping in mind these are results of totals wagers on all regular season games in 2021 (through Apr. 14th):
(1) The Philadelphia Flyers are the best return-on-investment this season on OVERs. Betting on the high-scoring Flyers every game in 2021 would have netted a whopping +26.79 percent return on investment. They've gone 28-14 to the OVER this season.
(2) The Arizona Coyotes have been the other big moneymaker for OVER bettors. Surprisingly, the Coyotes have generated nearly +22 percent profits betting them OVER the total in each game this season. They're 23-15-1 on totals, second-best to the Flyers.
(3) Both New York teams are the best UNDER teams in the NHL, so far. Not sure why, but the Rangers at 15-23-2 and Islanders at 15-26 O/U (translated, means betting UNDERs resulted in 63 percent winners) produce lower-scoring games than are typically forecasted by oddsmakers. Fact: Betting the Rangers and Islanders to go UNDER the total in every game this season has produced about a +17 percent return-on-investment overall.