NFL Best Bets: Week #12 [Record 21-11 -- 65 percent wins this season!]
Previous Day’s Record: 2-1
Overall Record: 21-11
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Thanksgiving has come and gone and, as the collective United States wakes up from its turkey-induced coma, we get ready for Week 12 of the NFL and the beginning of the “put up or shut up” portion of the schedule.
Undefeated and winless seasons are on the line, as well as playoff hopes dashed and fulfilled equally from now until the merciful end of 2020.
We had a good day last Sunday, and not just because of yet another winning week. We nailed the Texans and Rams upsets within a point of the final score (we said 26-20 and 26-23, it was 27-20 and 27-24).
We go on to our picks from this weekend as we attempt to continue our roll.
Buffalo Bills (7-3) vs Los Angeles Chargers (3-7)
The Bills bandwagon is just as full, if not more, as the Justin Herbert bandwagon. The question is, which one is fuller of itself? And the answer is Buffalo.
Every single one of the Bills’ wins this season has been by 10 points or less, and they are 4-3 against teams with winning records as well as 2-0 against the Jets. You could say that they should be 8-2 after the Miracle in Arizona, but they aren’t and now they face a potent offence.
The Chargers are third in the league in total yards and also have the relief/benefit of the return of star running back Austin Ekeler, who is a big factor both on the ground and in the passing game for LA.
The Chargers have nothing to lose, and the Bills have had two weeks to stew in their own misery. I usually wouldn’t bet on the Chargers in a close game, but Buffalo is going to help them with their own history of woe.
My pick: Bills 30 – 33 Chargers (+5.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4) vs Kansas City Chiefs (8-1)
The topic du jour of the week has been that “Tom Brady can’t throw the deep ball”, while Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is a demigod who doesn’t even break a sweat to crush a division rival on the road.
Pissed Brady is a dangerous Brady, and those who ignore history are doomed to suffer it.
This will be a shootout, and Tampa Tom will be ultra-motivated to go toe-to-toe with the opposing quarterback who aspires to eventually take his throne as the Greatest of All-Time.
Tampa’s defence is sturdier than the Chiefs’, and the home team is more desperate than the comfy road team. I’m calling another upset.
My pick: Bucs (+3) 34 – 31 Chiefs
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICK
Philadelphia Eagles (3-6-1) vs Seattle Seahawks (7-3)
This feels like a trap game for a Seahawks team that could be overconfident fresh off a big win against the Cardinals and facing a cupcake four-game stretch that includes the Eagles, Giants, Jets and Washington. That might relax them a bit too much.
They are also on the East Coast and their defense is susceptible to allow points. Then I remember turnover and sack machine Carson Wentz is playing quarterback for the home team in primetime and all of that goes out the window. Seattle wins comfortably and we might even get a Jalen Hurts sighting in the fourth quarter.
My pick: Eagles 16 – 30 Seahawks (-5)
-- by El Hombre