NFL Best Bets: Week #3

NFL Sep 25, 2020

-- by El Hombre

Previous week´s record: 3-0

Overall record: 3-0

Week 3 is going to look drastically different compared to Week 2 in the NFL.

Middling teams like the New York Giants and the Carolina Panthers lost the only players Red Zone paid them any attention for to injury, and your fantasy team probably went from world beaters to the fetal position after the rash of injuries that affected the rest of the league last Sunday.

On the bright side, if you follow this column, you made some money as we nailed our picks.  Let's keep rolling this week as we start off believing in the rookie quarterback that went toe-to-toe with a Super Bowl champion last week.

All numbers taken from and are accurate as of Friday morning.


If there is one team that benefits from having no fans at home, it's the Chargers. Now every game feels neutral instead of like a road game for them.

Bad jokes aside, rookie quarterback Justin Herbert is a breath of fresh air for the Chargers, and I expect him to continue making a good impression at home against the Christian McCaffrey-less Panthers, which are 23rd in passing defense this season.

My pick: Chargers (-6.5)  26 – 17  Panthers


Upset Pick of the Day!

The Texans are getting piled on for losing against the last two NFL MVPs and having an offense that can only be described as “run for your life, Deshaun”, while the Steelers are getting all the love after a 2-0 start with wins over the mighty Giants and Broncos.

I expect Watson to step up and target wide receiver Will Fuller way more than the zero times he did against the Ravens. Assuming he is fully healed from his hamstring injury, Fuller will make the difference with a couple of explosive plays.

The Steelers are playing fine, but they didn’t impress me and their victories were way tighter than they needed to be coming down to the wire against two mediocre opponents.

To put it bluntly, Pittsburgh is too comfortable and Watson won’t let Houston fall to 0-3.

My pick: Texans (+4)  23 – 20  Steelers



The toughest pick of the year so far, and the field goal line in favor of the Ravens indicates Vegas also is straddling the fence in this battle of two superhero QBs like Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes.

The Ravens have looked dominant on all sides of the ball, while the Chiefs appeared to be uncharacteristically flustered on the road by the Chargers’ defense in Week 2.

The Ravens haven’t lost at home since Week 4 of last season and have scored 28 or more points in six of their eight contests in Baltimore since then. Then again, the Chiefs haven’t lost a single game anywhere since Week 10 of last season.

When in doubt, go with the home team.

My pick: Ravens (+3)  38 – 35  Chiefs



Photo Credit:  Getty Images

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