NFL Parlay of the Week [Week 7]

NFL Oct 23, 2022

We hit last week's Parlay of the Week, giving us 3-3 for the season.  That's a profit of +4.8 units on our parlays, if you're keeping score.  Does anyone like money?

READ WEEK 1 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]

READ WEEK 2 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]

READ WEEK 3 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]

READ WEEK 4 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]

READ WEEK 5 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]

READ WEEK 6 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]

We cashed on last week's "Parlay of the Week," which now gives us a 3 wins and 3 losses on our record for the NFL regular season.  The Giants win and cover plus the UNDER cashing locked up a close but profitable game and parlay.

Still, that's +4.8 units on our parlays (always free!) if you're keeping score.  We'll gladly take those results and the nice profit.  But we also want to improve and produce more winners.

Now, it's on to Week 7:

Parlay of the Week:

Parlay Pick (powered by Pointspreads.ca) – We see a clear correlation in an NFL game this week with the underdog and the under. So, we're betting both and linking the two into a parlay, which pays 2.6 to 1. Our game this week kicks off in Las Vegas at 1:15 pm PT.

The Texans and Raiders have been struggling badly of late and come into this game following a bye week. So, which last-place team does that favor?

We lean towards Houston, which is getting +6.5 points. The Texans have been a feisty team in the first three quarters of most games, but have faded badly late in their losses (and a tie). We understand that Houston’s offense is excruciatingly painful to watch, ranking #29 in the NFL. We're not sure how they fix such ineptitude, even with the extra prep time.  Houston’s passing game is almost non-existent.

But then, let’s also credit the Texans’ defense for holding 4 of 5 opponents to 20 points or fewer. They face a Raiders offense that’s likely to be without WRs Darren Waller and Mack Hollins, starters who are both questionable. Inexplicably, star WR Devante Adams is suiting up this Sunday (why hasn’t the NFL suspended him already?). Adams should be sitting in a Kansas City jail cell right now for his blatant assault on a defenseless cameraman as he trotted off the field in their previous game.

Look for Las Vegas to use the running attack with RB Josh Jacobs more this week, and dominate the time of possession battle. Long drives will eat the clock and Houston lacks the weapons on offense to do the same. Texans have only 8 TDs on 53 drives this season, including 19 three-and-outs — that’s horrendous.  We’d have this total around the 42-43 range, so we’re getting a nice cushion at 46.

Since a low offensive output is expected, that also leads to a wager on the underdog, getting nearly a full touchdown.


The Pick: Houston/Las Vegas UNDER 46 / Houston +6.5

ALL LINES ARE BASED ON WHAT'S AVAILABLE AT SPREADS.CA.  ALSO NOTE THE BONUSES, BOOSTED BETS, AND OTHER ATTRACTIONS AT SPREADS.CA