NFL Parlay of the Week [Week 9]
We lost last week's "Parlay of the Week," now giving us a 3-5 record for the season. Still, with 2.6-1 odds on each bet, that's a profit of +2.8 units on our parlays nearing the midseason, if you're keeping score.
READ WEEK 1 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
READ WEEK 2 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
READ WEEK 3 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
READ WEEK 4 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
READ WEEK 5 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
READ WEEK 6 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
READ WEEK 7 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
READ WEEK 8 REPORT HERE [PARLAY OF THE WEEK]
We missed on hitting last week's "Parlay of the Week," which now gives us a 3 wins and 5 losses on our record for the NFL regular season. We bet BUFFALO -10.5 and OVER 47 in the SNF game versus GREEN BAY. The halftime score of 24-7 made us look pretty, but the the Bills basically too the rest of the night off and the game fell as a final score of 27-17.
So now, it's on to Week 9.
We'll gladly take those results and the nice profit. But we also want to improve and produce more winners.
Parlay of the Week:
Here's another SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL special
We like the TITANS +13 with the UNDER 46
Tennessee is 5-0 both SU and ATS in its last five games. Seriously. Let that sink in. I read that, didn’t believe it, then looked it up for myself. And how about this for another fun fact — Kansas City is 0-3 ATS at home this season. Oh, and here’s one more: Tennessee has won 5 of the last 6 meetings with KC, despite being an underdog in ALL six games. Those shocking numbers don’t lie.
This strange line all boils down to Tennessee starting a rookie QB. Check the late gametime updates, but newbie Malik Willis could get his second career start. Ryan Tannehill practiced on Friday but head coach Mike Vrabel said the quarterback start will be a game-time decision. Tannehill suffered an ankle injury in Week 7, so even if he plays might not be at full strength, and he’s really not all that great anyways.
That may not matter as much as we think. Titans star RB Derrick Henry will probably see 25+ carries since he’s become basically the entire Titan offense. The Titans have been tough to figure out, and their injury status for Sunday only adds to the confusion. Despite a 5-2 record, Tennessee has still been outgained 6 of their 7 games. If there’s a poster team for winning “ugly,” it’s certainly the Titans.
Meanwhile, Kansas City is rolling along, healthy, and at home on Sunday night. We're just not sure about laying this many points. Given what we know now, Tennessee isn’t going to do lots of passing, and wants to keep this as a grind. An ugly low-scoring game suits the Titans, just fine.
Defensively, Tennessee allows just 16 PPG, and even though their level of competition leaves something to be desired, there’s enough talent on this defense to frustrate Patrick Mahomes and the KC offense.
Six of 7 Titans games have gone UNDER, so we’ll play below this total. A low scoring game also helps the dog getting lots of points, so there's some correlation on these two wagers into a single parlay. This game is tailor made for a KC-OV or TN-UN two-way bet, and we'll side with the later since the Titans have some key injuries.
The Pick: TENNESSEE +13 / TN-KC UNDER 46
The Prediction: Kansas City 24 Tennessee 16
