Las Vegas will host its first Thursday night game this evening, starting at 5:20 local time.
The Raiders (7-6) desperately need a win to keep their faint playoff hopes alive. Meanwhile, the Chargers (4-9) are playing for little more than pride, hoping to play spoiler and also gain some confidence as their regular season comes to an end.
The Raiders are favoured by 3.5, according to the latest odds at SPREADS.CA. The total is 51.5, a higher than usual number because both defences have allowed plenty of points. The Chargers rank 27th in points allowed. The Raiders are worse, ranking 30th. So, points are expected to be scored.
Given the Raiders have played 9-3-1 to the OVER, and their 4-1-1 to the OVER at home, this total seems like a number that will be eclipsed. One concern is the Chargers offence has been inconsistent and has produced 3 straight UNDERs. However, the previous 7 games prior to that all went OVER. The Chargers are 7-6-0 to the OVER this season, but 4-2-0 on the road.
This total was 55 in some places at the opener. But it's now at a number we can easily bet given the trends of these teams.
OVER 51.5 is our recommendation on tonight's game.