NFL Week 1 Prediction: Baltimore at NY Jets

NFL Sep 09, 2022

BALTIMORE RAVENS at NEW YORK JETS


Baltimore Ravens -7 (-105) o44.5 (-110) -300
New York Jets +7 (-115) u44.5 (-110) +240

Analysis:

The big storyline here is QB J. Flacco getting the start for the hapless Jets, after high-prospect Z. Wilson ended up on IR with a blown-out knee. Does the 37-year-old have anything left in the empty tank? Flacco hasn't played an impressive game in nearly a decade now and resembles nothing of the QB who once won a Super Bowl with the Ravens, the old team he'll be facing on Sunday. Devoid of leadership qualities, even in his best years Flacco was the king of the 3-yard chunk and dunk. We don't see him stepping up and doing much here with the Jets, although by default, he's likely to start their first four games this season before Wilson's return.

Jets head coach R. Saleh, who was just 6-11 ATS last season and 4-5 ATS at home does have the talent to eventually turn this Jets defense into a solid unit, but that likely won't be on display against the hungry Ravens who after suffering and injury-riddled 2021 season come into this game healthy and much improved.

We don't want to lay a touchdown with Baltimore, as we generally shy away from road favorites most of the time and really avoid them when the number reaches laying a touchdown. However, we do see some value even with the steep moneyline lay price of -300. Just in case Baltimore struggles, we'll play them on the moneyline. Even with a subpar performance, we just don't see the Ravens losing to the Jets with so many voids on the roster and an offense quarterbacked by Flacco.

Our Pick:  Baltimore Moneyline (-300)

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