Odds and Trends in Major League Baseball (July 12th)

MLB Jul 12, 2022

Trends can be quite helpful in handicapping baseball games. So – we've gathered dozens of them for today's action and are sharing them here in our daily report.

THE ODDS:

First, here's a look at the current odds and totals for all of today's games at SPREADS.CA.

CHECK OUT MLB ODDS AND MUCH MORE AT SPREADS.CA – INCLUDING BOOSTED ODDS, WHICH OFFERS A POSITIVE EXPECTATION ON YOUR WAGERS!


Pittsburgh (37-50) @ Miami (41-44)
— Pirates won their last three games.
— Pittsburgh is 17-27 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 19-87
— record in first 5 innings: 30-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4.2-2
— Castano is 1-1, 6.98 in his last four starts.
— Miami is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.
— Miami is 9-8 in its last 17 games.
— Marlins are 20-18 at home.
— under 8-3-2 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-85
— record in first 5 innings: 32-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3.2



NY Mets (54-33) @ Atlanta (52-36)
— Peterson is 2-0, 3.27 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 9-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-3
— He is 2-2, 5.84 in five starts vs Atlanta.
— Mets are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— Mets are 26-18 on road.
— over 27-17-2 last 46 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-87
— record in first 5 innings: 45-25-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-2
— Strider is 1-0, 0.50 in his last three starts.
— Atlanta is 4-4 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2
— He allowed a run in 2.1 IP, in two relief stints vs New York.
— Braves are 29-9 in their last 38 games.
— Atlanta is 30-19 at home.
— under 14-5 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-89
— record in first 5 innings: 50-29-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-4



Los Angeles (55-29) @ St Louis (46-42)
— White is 0-0, 2.33 in his last four starts (19.1 IP).
— Dodgers are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-4
— He is 0-1, 6.00 in two games (1 start) vs St Louis.
— Dodgers are 17-5 in their last 22 games.
— Los Angeles is 26-16 on road.
— under 12-3-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-85
— record in first 5 innings: 49-22-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-7-x
— Liberatore is 1-0, 3.97 in his last three starts (11.1 IP).
— St Louis is 5-1 in his starts
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Dodgers.
— Cardinals lost eight of last dozen games.
— St Louis is 26-18 at home.
— under 11-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-89
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-1.2



San Diego (50-38) @ Colorado (38-49)
— Clevinger is 1-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 6-1 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He is 1-1, 9.00 in three games (2 starts) vs Colorado.
— Padres lost 11 of last 17 games.
— San Diego is 27-18 on road.
— under 8-4 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-88
— record in first 5 innings: 43-28-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-2.2
— Gomber is 2-0, 5.03 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 6-8 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7-3
— He is 1-1, 2.45 in four starts vs San Diego.
.— Colorado won three of last five games.
— Rockies are 23-22 at home.
— under 17-8-1 last 26 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 25-47-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-2-3



Arizona (39-48) @ San Francisco (43-42)
— Keuchel is 0-1, 7.71 in his three Arizona starts.
— Arizona is 1-2 in his starts
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-2
— He is 0-2, 3.71 in three starts vs San Francisco.
— Diamondbacks are 4-6 in last ten games.
— Arizona is 17-22 on road.
— over 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-86
— record in first 5 innings: 32-32-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-2
— Webb is 2-1, 2.12 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 10-7 in his starts.
— over 8-5-1 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
— He is 2-0, 1.59 in three starts vs Arizona.
— Giants are 6-15 in their last 21 games.
— San Francisco is 21-21 at home.
— over 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-84
— record in first 5 innings: 36-34-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0-2-3


White Sox (41-44) @ Cleveland (42-42)
— Cease is 3-1, 1.24 in his last five starts.
— White Sox are 11-6 in his starts.
— under 9-8
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
— He is 2-3, 5.79 in six starts vs Cleveland.
— White Sox are 7-6 in their last 13 games.
— Chicago is 22-19 on road.
— over 3-0 last three road games
— scored run in first inning: 20-85
— record in first 5 innings: 35-40-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.2-4
— Bieber is 0-2, 4.83 in his last five starts.
— Cleveland is 10-6 in his starts.
— under 8-5 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-3
— He is 6-2, 2.48 in 13 starts vs Chicago
— Guardians are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— Cleveland is 21-17 at home.
— under 9-6 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-84
— record in first 5 innings: 30-36-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3



Boston (47-40) @ Tampa Bay (46-40)
— Sale is making his first ‘22 start.
— He was 5-1, 3.16 in nine starts LY, didn’t pitch in 2020
— For his career, he is 114-74, 3.03 in 241 starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 0-0
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0
— He is 10-6, 2.93 in 20 starts vs Tampa Bay.
— Red Sox lost five of last seven games.
— Boston is 24-20 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-87
— record in first 5 innings: 36-29-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.2-4
— Kluber is 1-3, 3.76 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 8-8 in his starts
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-1
— He is 4-5, 4.26 in 12 starts vs Boston.
— Tampa Bay lost three of last four games.
— Rays are 26-17 at home.
— over 11-6-2 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-86
— record in first 5 innings: 40-27-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-5.2-6



A’s (29-59) @ Texas (40-44)
— Kaprielian is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— A’s are 6-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-3
— He is 1-2, 4.95 in seven starts vs Texas.
— A’s are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Oakland is 18-28 on road.
— under 19-6-2 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-88
— record in first 5 innings: 28-47-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3.2
— Otto is 0-3, 9.82 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 5-6 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-11
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7
— He is 1-1, 9.72 in two starts vs Oakland.
— Rangers are 4-7 in last 11 games.
— Texas is 20-21 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-84
— record in first 5 innings: 31-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6.2-4



Detroit (36-51) @ Kansas City (34-52)
— Brieske is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts.
— Tigers are 5-9 in his starts.
— under 10-3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-3
— He is 0-0, 4.50 in one start vs Kansas City.
— Tigers lost their last four games.
— Detroit is 13-27 on road.
— under five of last seven road games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-87
— record in first 5 innings: 24-49-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-9
— Bubic is 0-2, 7.36 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-8 in his starts
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-4
— He is 2-0, 2.45 in six starts vs Detroit.
— Kansas City is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Royals are 18-26 at home.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 25-86
— record in first 5 innings: 31-43-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.2-4-7



Houston (56-29) @ LA Angels (38-49)
— Garcia is 4-0, 4.37 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 9-6 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He is 2-2, 3.96 in six starts vs Anaheim.
— Astros won 20 of their last 26 games.
— Houston is 29-17 on road.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 26-85
— record in first 5 innings: 50-24-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0-2-x
— Syndergaard is 1-5, 4.73 in his last six starts.
— Angels are 5-8 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in one start (5.1 IP) vs Houston.
— Angels are 11-32 in their last 43 games.
— Angels are 21-23 at home.
— under 18-9-2 last 29 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 43-35-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-4.1-x



Cincinnati (32-54) @ New York (61-25)
— Ashcraft is 1-2, 7.27 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 6-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— Reds won their last four games.
— Cincinnati is 14-26 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 19-86
— record in first 5 innings: 24-47-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-x
— Cole is 3-1, 2.51 in his last five starts.
— New York is 13-4 in his starts.
— over 5-3 home
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-1-6
— He is 1-8, 4.68 in 13 starts vs Cincinnati.
— New York is 21-9 in their last 30 games.
— New York is 34-9 at home.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 29-86
— record in first 5 innings: 46-20-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x



Seattle (45-42) @ Washington (30-58)
— Flexen is 3-0, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 6-10 in his starts.
— under 11-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.
— Mariners won their last eight games.
— Seattle is 21-22 on road.
— under 17-10-1 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 33-39-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-x
— Gray is 1-1, 3.03 in his last five starts.
— Nationals are 8-8 in his starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.
— Washington lost 10 of last 11 games.
— Nationals are 14-31 at home.
— under 10-5-1 last sixteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-88
— record in first 5 innings: 25-53-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-x



Philadelphia (46-41) @ Toronto (45-41)
— Phillies are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Philly is 22-20 on road.
— under 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-87
— record in first 5 innings: 35-36-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6-1
— Berrios is 1-0, 2.45 in his last two starts.
— Toronto is 6-2 in his last eight starts
— over 10-2 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-3
— He is 0-1, 3.00 in one start vs Philly.
— Blue Jays lost nine of their last ten games.
— Toronto is 25-18 at home.
— over 33-13 last 46 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-87
— record in first 5 innings: 35-33-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 0.2-3.2-x



Milwaukee (48-39) @ Minnesota (47840)
— Alexander is 2-1, 5.18 in six starts.
— Milwaukee is 3-3 in his starts
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.
— Brewers are 1-5 in their last six games.
— Milwaukee is 27-20 on road.
— over 10-5-2 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 29-87
— record in first 5 innings: 38-34-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4
— Winder is 2-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— Minnesota is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.
— Minnesota is 9-6 in its last 14 games.
— Twins are 25-18 at home.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-87
— record in first 5 innings: 46-29-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-x



Baltimore (43-44) @ Cubs (34-52)
— Lyles is 1-0, 1.46 in his last two starts.
— Baltimore is 6-11 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 3-4, 5.68 in nine starts vs Chicago.
— Orioles won their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 18-27 on road.
— under 14-7-1 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-87
— record in first 5 innings: 32-41-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-4
— Sampson is 0-0, 4.50 in three starts.
— Cubs are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He threw a scoreless IP in relief vs Baltimore.
— Cubs split their last 12 games.
— Cubs are 17-27 at home.
— under 6-2-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 33-86
— record in first 5 innings: 34-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-x

Note that most of today's trends are taken from ARMADILLO SPORTS.