Odds, Angles, and Trends in Major League Baseball (July 5th)

MLB Jul 05, 2022

Angles and trends can be quite helpful in handicapping baseball games.

We've gathered dozens of them for today's action and are sharing them here.

First, here's a look at the current odds and totals for all of today's games at SPREADS.CA.

CHECK OUT MLB ODDS AND MUCH MORE AT SPREADS.CA – INCLUDING BOOSTED ODDS, WHICH OFFERS A POSITIVE EXPECTATION ON YOUR WAGERS!

National League


NY Mets (50-30) @ Cincinnati (27-52)
— Scherzer is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— His last start was May 18
— Mets are 6-2 in his starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-2
— He is 6-2, 1.84 in nine starts vs Cincinnati.
— Mets are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Mets are 24-17 on road.
— over 24-13-2 last 39 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-80
— record in first 5 innings: 42-23-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.1-3
— Lodolo is 1-2, 5.52 in his three starts.
— His last start was April 24.
— Reds are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.
— Reds lost 13 of last 18 games.
— Cincinnati is 13-26 at home.
— over 9-4 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-79
— record in first 5 innings: 22-45-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3.2

Washington (29-53) @ Philadelphia (41-38)
— Espino is 0-1, 4.42 in four starts.
— Nationals are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He is 0-1, 5.79 in seven games (4 starts) vs Philly.
— Washington lost its last five games.
— Nationals are 15-22 on road.
— under 6-3-1 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-82
— record in first 5 innings: 25-48-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3
— Phillies split their last 12 games.
— Philly is 22-20 at home.
— over 24-15-1 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-80
— record in first 5 innings: 32-35-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-x

Cubs (32-48) @ Milwaukee (47-35)
— Hendricks is 2-0, 1.35 in his last two starts.
— Cubs are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He is 10-8, 3.54 in 30 starts vs Milwaukee.
— Cubs are 14-24 in their last 38 games.
— Cubs are 15-21 on road.
— over 5-4 last n
— scored run in first inning: 32-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-36-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.2-7-3
— Alexander is 2-0, 3.90 in his five starts.
— Milwaukee is 3-2 in his starts
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 7 IP vs Chicago June 1st.
— Brewers won nine of last 12 games.
— Milwaukee is 20-15 at home.
— over 8-2-2 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 28-82
— record in first 5 innings: 34-33-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-4

St Louis (44-38) @ Atlanta (47-34)
— Pallante is 1-2, 2.57 in five starts.
— St Louis is 2-3 in his starts
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.
— Cardinals lost four of last five games.
— St Louis is 20-22 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 30-82
— record in first 5 innings: 37-33-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-2.1-4
— Anderson allowed 11 runs in 6 IP in his last two starts.
— Atlanta is 9-6 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-4
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.
— Braves won 24 of their last 31 games.
— Atlanta is 25-17 at home.
— under 9-3 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-82
— record in first 5 innings: 45-28-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-5

San Francisco (40-38) @ Arizona (36-44)
— Wood is 1-1, 9.75 in his last three starts.
— San Francisco is 7-8 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-3
— He is 7-4, 3.33 in 16 starts vs Arizona
— Giants are 3-11 in their last 14 games.
— San Francisco is 19-18 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 20-77
— record in first 5 innings: 35-30-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-8-3
— Gilbert is 0-1, 10.61 in two starts.
— Arizona is 1-1 in his starts
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He gave up an unearned run in two relief stints (1.2 IP) vs San Francisco.
— Diamondbacks are 14-21 in last 35 games.
— Arizona is 20-22 at home.
— over 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-79
— record in first 5 innings: 28-32-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-4

Colorado (34-45) @ Los Angeles (50-29)
— Marquez is 1-1, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-3
— He is 2-2, 3.36 in 13 starts vs Los Angeles.
— Colorado lost eight of last 12 games.
— Rockies are 12-24 on road.
— under 12-6-1 last nineteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— record in first 5 innings: 25-43-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-4-2.1
— White is 0-1, 2.78 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He is 1-1, 4.00 in three games (1 start) vs Colorado.
— Dodgers are 11-5 in their last sixteen games.
— Los Angeles is 24-13 at home.
— under 8-2-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 27-79
— record in first 5 innings: 46-20-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-3

American League


Texas (37-41) @ Baltimore (37-44)
— Rangers are 1-4 in last five games.
— Texas is 20-21 on road.
— under 7-5 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 19-78
— record in first 5 innings: 28-34-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-2.1-3.1
— Orioles are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Baltimore is 19-17 at home.
— under 11-4-1 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-81
— record in first 5 innings: 27-40-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-5.1

Cleveland (40-38) @ Detroit (32-47)
— Quantrill is 1-1, 4.13 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 6-8 in his starts.
— over 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-4
— He is 1-1, 2.76 in five games (2 starts) vs Detroit
— Guardians are 4-10 in their last 14 games.
— Cleveland is 20-21 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-78
— record in first 5 innings: 28-33-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-2-6
— Hutchison is 0-1, 5.40 in his two starts.
— Tigers are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-1, 8.76 in three starts vs Cleveland.
— Tigers won three of their last four games.
— Detroit is 21-24 at home.
— five of last six games under.
— scored run in first inning: 18-79
— record in first 5 innings: 20-45-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-8.1

Tampa Bay (43-37) @ Boston (45-35)
— Springs is 1-0, 3.04 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 8-2 in his starts.
— under 6-1-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-5
— He gave up 2 runs in 7.2 IP, in eight relief stints vs Boston.
— Tampa Bay won three of last four games.
— Rays are 18-20 on road.
— over 8-3-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-80
— record in first 5 innings: 38-26-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-3-6
— Pivetta is 3-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 9-1 in his last ten starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-2
— He is 1-2, 2.95 in four starts vs Tampa Bay
— Red Sox won 22 of last 30 games.
— Boston is 21-16 at home.
— under 9-4-2 last 15 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-80
— record in first 5 innings: 36-26-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-7-7

Kansas City (29-49) @ Houston (52-27)
— Greinke is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— He pitched for Houston from 2019-21
— Royals are 5-2 in his last seven starts
— over 4-2-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-3
— He is 6-3, 2.59 in 11 starts vs Houston.
— Kansas City lost six of last nine games.
— Royals are 15-24 on road.
— under 11-6-1 last eighteen games
— scored run in first inning: 22-78
— record in first 5 innings: 27-39-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4.1-2.2
— Garcia is 3-0, 3.31 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 9-5 in his starts.
— under 8-2-1 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He is 1-1, 2.41 in three starts vs Kansas City.
— Astros won 16 of their last 20 games.
— Houston is 25-11 at home.
— under 5-4-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 25-79
— record in first 5 innings: 46-22-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5

Minnesota (46-37) @ White Sox (38-40)
— Archer is 2-1, 2.00 in his last six starts (27 IP).
— Minnesota is 7-8 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 4-2, 4.27 in ten starts vs Chicago.
— Minnesota is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
— Twins are 21-19 on road.
— under 14-6-2 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-83
— record in first 5 innings: 45-28-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-5
— Kopech is 0-3, 6.06 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 5-9 in his starts.
— under 9-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 7-13
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-2
— He is 1-0, 0.75 in six games (2 starts) vs Minnesota.
— White Sox are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Chicago is 16-22 at home.
— under 7-3-1 last eleven
— scored run in first inning: 17-78
— record in first 5 innings: 33-36-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

Toronto (44-37) @ A’s (27-55)
— Kikuchi is 1-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 5-10 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He is 1-2, 3.19 in nine starts vs Oakland.
— Blue Jays lost their last four games.
— Toronto is 19-19 on road.
— over 31-9 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-81
— record in first 5 innings: 34-31-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 11.1-4.1-2.1
— Martinez is 1-1, 6.30 in two starts.
— A’s are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.
— A’s are 13-36 in their last 49 games.
— Oakland is 9-28 at home.
— under 14-5-2 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-82
— record in first 5 innings: 26-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-7-1



Interleague Games


Seattle (40-42) @ San Diego (47-35)
— Gilbert is 4-1, 3.64 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-3-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.
— Mariners are 11-3 in their last 14 games.
— Seattle is 20-22 on road.
— under 15-7-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 31-38-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.1-2.1
— Clevinger is 2-0, 1.00 in his last four starts (18 IP).
— Padres are 6-0 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-2
— He is 0-0, 6.00 in one start vs Seattle.
— Padres lost eight of last 11 games.
— San Diego is 21-17 at home.
— under 11-7 last eighteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-82
— record in first 5 innings: 40-27-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-5.2

LA Angels (37-44) @ Miami (38-40)
— Syndergaard is 1-4, 4.94 in his last five starts.
— Angels are 5-7 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-2
— He is 7-1, 2.16 in 12 starts vs Miami.
— Angels are 10-27 in their last 37 games.
— Angels are 16-21 on road.
— under 15-7-1 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-81
— record in first 5 innings: 41-31-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4
— Alcantara is 6-1, 2.11 in his last nine starts.
— Miami is 10-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.
— Miami is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Marlins are 19-16 at home.
— under 4-1-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 14-78
— record in first 5 innings: 30-32-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.2-3

New York (58-22) @ Pittsburgh (32-47)
— Taillon is 5-0, 3.70 in his last seven starts.
— He pitched for Pittsburgh from 2016-19.
— New York is 12-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against his old team.
— New York is 18-6 in their last 24 games.
— New York is 24-13 on road.
— under 6-2-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 27-80
— record in first 5 innings: 43-19-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-x
— Quintana is 0-0, 3.12 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 7-8 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3
— He is 2-2, 3.18 in five starts vs New York.
— Pirates are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Pittsburgh is 19-22 at home.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 18-79
— record in first 5 innings: 27-38-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-3-4.1

Note: Credit to Armadillo Sports for most of the data contained herein.