It's always a good idea to check the weather forecast for the game you're betting on and factor it into your decision. Games in cold weather cities like Kansas City, Buffalo, and Philadelphia this coming weekend makes this even more critical.
The NFL Divisional Round playoff games are upon us. Four games will take place this coming weekend.
Here are some questions and (hopefully) some answers. But first, let's look at the early odds on all four games:
ALL ODDS ARE COURTESY OF SPREADS.CA
What's the impact of home-field advantage on the outcome of the games?
Historically, home teams in the Divisional Round have had a strong advantage, winning 63 percent of games since the current playoff format was implemented in 1990. This trend holds true when it comes to the point spread as well, with home teams covering the spread in 55 percent of all games.
What are the records of favourites vs. underdogs in the Divisional Round?
Another interesting trend to keep an eye on is how favourites and underdogs fare against the point spread in the Divisional Round. Since 1990, favourites have covered the spread in just 49 percent of games. This suggests that underdogs may be worth a closer look when placing bets on the Divisional Round games. However, there's no clear advantage betting this across the board.
What about totals betting and how many points are scored in playoff games?
When it comes to gambling on the NFL playoffs, one popular option is betting on the total points scored in a game, also known as "totals betting." With the Divisional Round of the playoffs upon us, it's worth taking a closer look at how this type of bet has performed in recent years.
Historically, the average total points scored in playoff games is 41.5. From 1990 to 2021, the OVER has hit 54 percent of the time, while the UNDER has hit just 46 percent of the time. This suggests that the point totals for these games have been a little bit too low.
It's also worth noting that there is a slight tendency for scoring in playoff games to be higher than in regular season games. This could be due to the increased intensity of playoff games, or to the fact that the better teams are more likely to advance, and those teams tend to score more points.
Are there trends worth noting in totals betting on Divisional Round games?
When it comes to Divisional Round specifically, the average total points scored is 42.2. The over has hit 52 percent of the time. This shows that Divisional Round games slightly lean towards going OVER.
One important factor to consider when betting on totals is weather. Cold and windy conditions can make it more difficult for offenses to score, and this could lead to a lower-scoring game. It's always a good idea to check the forecast for the game you're betting on and factor it into your decision. Games in cold weather cities like Kansas City, Buffalo, and Philadelphia this coming weekend makes this even more critical.
In conclusion, betting on the total points scored in a game can be a fun and potentially profitable way to get in on the action during the NFL playoffs. With the Divisional Round upon us, it's worth keeping an eye on historical totals data and also considering the weather conditions as it can play a role in the scoring of the game.