San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys: Our Pick
Here's our pick for the fourth NFL playoff game, which kicks off this Sunday afternoon.
Note this is only a partial menu of hundreds of possible wagers on this game. Check out SPREADS.CA for more betting options.
Dallas Team Total OVER 27 (-110) vs. San Francisco
The 49ers are a popular pick to pull off an upset. The game is lined at Dallas -3, the shortest odds of any game this week. We think the game is lined perfectly, but we do think there's value in betting a team total.
The Cowboys posted a franchise scoring record (yes, it was 17 games, instead of 16) and rolled up lots of points in the regular season. They exceeded 27+ points in six of eight home games this season, and now a home playoff game should bring out the best in the multi-optional Dallas passing attack. We're not so confident the Cowboys either win the game or cover the spread, but so long as we catch the key number (27), it seems more likely to break than total than to fall beneath it.
Why? Well, Dallas hit 27 or more in 11/15 games started by QB Dak Prescott this season. The 49ers defense could come up big, of course, and shut down Dallas, which has happened a few times (recall the Arizona game that Dallas lost at home three weeks ago). Anything is possible in the playoffs. We might have avoided this game altogether, but we also didn’t like what we saw from San Francisco in a critically important game last week when they fell behind 0-17 early at the rival LA Rams. Credit the 49ers for the comeback and the win. However, if they come into this game with similar weak preparation, they could get rolled. We've seen the Cowboys this season, who like to run up the score in games.
We’ll stick with the hot-handed Prescott and the Cowboys in the comforts of home and look for a 400+ yard passing game and at least enough points to break the team total of 27.
THE PICK: DALLAS TO SCORE 27 OR MORE POINTS