Thursday Night Football -- Prop Bets

NFL Nov 19, 2020

A month ago, the Seattle Seahawks were 5-0 and in control of the NFC West.  But now, they come into Week 11 in a three-way tie for the division lead at 6-3.

Arizona has clawed their way back from a 2-2 start, going 4-1 in their last five and in the mix for the division title.  They had a shocking overtime win over the Seahawks in Week 7, and they'll meet for the second time on Thursday Night Football.

The Seahawks have lost three-straight on the road but are 4-0 in Seattle this season.  While the return to CenturyLink Field will be welcomed, Arizona is 4-1 in their last five games in Seattle.  The two teams combined for 71 points in the first meeting and they have the highest Over/Under (57.5) on the Week 11 game, so we should be in for a high-scoring Thursday Night shootout.

Below are my four favourite prop bets for Thursday Night's game. Bet them at play.spreads.ca


Photo Credit: Complex.com

DeAndre Hopkins OVER 88.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Hopkins was on the receiving end of the play of the year last week and should be in for a massive performance on Thursday.

The Seahawks have given up the most passing yards per game (353.3) through nine games and have allowed over 700 yards to the Bills and Rams in the last two weeks. Seattle has held an opposing receiver under 90 yards just once this season (Week 5) so slowing down Hopkins is going to be very difficult for them.

Hopkins will go head-to-head with Tre Flowers for most of the night. Flowers is graded as the 95th ranked CB in the NFL in 2020 (per Pro Football Focus) and should be no match for  Hopkins. When targeting Flowers, QBs are completing 76.4 percent of their pass attempts and have a 108.6 QB Rating.

Hopkins is averaging 9.8 targets, 7.4 receptions, and 95.7 receiving yards per game, so going over 85.5 yards in this matchup should be no problem.


Kyler Murray OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

Arizona's defence is giving up 32.7 points over the last three weeks, so holding Seattle's offence under 30 points probably isn't going to happen. As a result, Murray will be relied upon to put up massive numbers. His passing yard numbers have been inconsistent, but his rushing totals have become reliable. He has ramped it up in the high-scoring matchups over the last few weeks, carrying the ball over 10 times in each matchup. On the season, he's averaging  9.7 carries and 67.1 rushing yards per game. He totalled 67 yards on 14 carries in the first meeting with Seattle, so expect him to go over 58.5 rushing yards on Thursday.


Russell Wilson OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-120)

Wilson has been airing it out all season, averaging 37.1 pass attempts per game. That's a lot of opportunities to throw interceptions. After starting the season with MVP calibre numbers, Wilson has stumbled in recent weeks. Wilson had a 19-to-2 TD to INT ratio in his first five games but has thrown nine touchdowns to seven interceptions since the bye week (four games). Wilson has thrown an interception in five of his last six games, so throwing some money on him throwing one pick on ≈40 pass attempts seems like a safe bet.


D.K. Metcalf - Seahawks First Touchdown Scorer (+360)

The last time Metcalf held to two catches and under 30 yards (Week 7 vs. Arizona) he exploded the following week. Wilson made up for the first meeting with the Cardinals with 15  targets vs. San Francisco, which Metcalf turned into 12 catches for 161 yards and two touchdowns.

In his career, Metcalf has just three receptions for 29 yards in three career games vs. Arizona. So he may not be in for a big yardage game, but Wilson looks his way often in the redzone and he's always a threat to break off a long TD. After quiet game, Wilson will try to get him involved early as he did in Week 8, it's worth taking a flier on him scoring Seattle's first TD at +360.

-- by Timmy Bits


Headline Photo Credit:  Getty Images

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