Thursday Night NFL Props

NFL Oct 22, 2020

At the start of the season, this had the look of a decent Thursday Night Football matchup but now it's a battle of one-win teams.

The Eagles have lost two in a row while the Giants are fresh off their first win of the season.  However, both teams sit just one win out of the division lead and the 2-4 Dallas Cowboys are having trouble of their own right now.  For viewers, this game doesn't have a lot of appeal, but this is a very important game for both of these teams.

With the World Series taking a day off tomorrow, I know you'll reluctantly be tuning into this dumpster fire.  So, why not throw down a few bucks on prop bets to make it a little more interesting?


Devonta Freeman – UNDER 52.5 Rush Yds (-115)

The Eagles have been really strong against the run this season.  Through six weeks, they've only allowed one opposing running back over 55 rushing yards--Darrell Henderson, who had 81 yards on 12 carries in Week 2.  Since being signed before Week 3, Freeman has earned more snaps each week.  He handled 35 carries over the last two weeks but averaged just 3.4 yards per carry.  His highest rushing total so far this season is 61 yards (last week) and he should have a tough time getting to that mark against a stout Eagles' front.

Daniel Jones – OVER 28.5 Rush Yds (-110)

Jones has been fairly reliant on his legs in recent weeks, running for at least 45 yards in three of his last four games.  He's averaged 40.3 rushing yards per game over that stretch.  The Eagles come into Week 7 with the fourth-best Adjusted Sack Rate (Per Football Outsiders) in the NFL, so Jones should be forced out of the pocket and use his legs with regularity in this game.  Averaging 4.5 rushes per game and 7.6 yards/carry suggests this over should hit easily.

Evan Engram  –  OVER 36.5 Receiving Yds (-115)

Tight ends have enjoyed quite a bit of success against the Eagles this season.  The great George Kittle went for 15 receptions and 183 yards in week 4 and opposing tight ends shave gone over 36.5 receiving yards in four of six weeks.  Engram is one of the most athletic tight ends in the NFL and comes into Thursday averaging 5.8 targets per game.  The results haven't been there consistently this season, but Engram only needs to haul in three or four of those targets and will likely find himself over 36.5 yards in this matchup.

Carson Wentz  –  OVER 245.5 Passing Yds (-115)

The Eagles will be without Miles Sanders, Zach Ertz, Dallas Goedert, Alshon Jeffery, and Jalen Reagor, so all the pressure will be on Wentz in this one.  With Sanders out, Wentz will likely throw the ball more than normal because Boston Scott and Corey Clement have been largely ineffective this season.

Even without most of his weapons, Wentz has shown the ability to have good games.  In Week 17 against the Giants last season, threw for  289 yards with Goedert, Greg Ward, Joshua Perkins and Deontay Burnett as his targets, so he's been here before.  Even with a sluggish start to the season, he's averaging 233.5 passing yards per game and averaged 307 yards in his two starts vs. the Giants a season ago.

Boston Scott  –  UNDER 49.5 Rush Yds (-110)

As I just mentioned, Scott hasn't been great this season. He's averaging just 3.2 yards per carry, so even if he sees 15 rush attempts on Thursday, he may fall short of 50 yards. Scott is better utilized as a receiving back, so I expect Clement and maybe even Jason Huntley or Adrian Killins to see carries as the Eagles go with a running back by committee approach.

If the other running backs take carries away from Scott, he'll need to bust a long run if he's going to top the 50-yard plateau. Scott will likely see the most snaps in this backfield, but a lot of those snaps could be passing downs.

-- by Tommy Bits


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