UFC 257: Dustin Poirier Primed to Upset Conor McGregor at Fight Island in Abu Dhabi

Other Jan 23, 2021

Could it possibly happen?

Might Dustin Poirier upset UFC living legend Conor McGregor this Saturday at the Octogon on Fight Island in Abu Dhabi?

Yep, bet on it.

When is the Fight?

The fight that's been years in the making takes place on 23 January on top of the bill at UFC 257.  It will take place on Yas Island in Abu Dhabi.  Dana White has confirmed that approximately 2,000 fans will be able to attend the card at the Etihad Arena. The main card is expected to begin at 3am GMT (Sunday morning), with the prelims before that starting at 1am GMT. The early prelims will get under way at 11.15pm GMT on Saturday night.

Why Poirier is a Great Bet/Value

Conor McGregor is UFC's biggest star.  His popularity is priced into the odds, which is why he enters this match as such a sizable favourite, despite flirtation with retirement from the sport.

McGregor is currently listed at -380 over Poirier (+330) – according to SPREADS.CA – but there's good reason to believe Poirier could be ready for a big upset.  

Brent Brookhouse, one of UFC's top analysts noted:

"One of the biggest questions coming into the fight is how McGregor will handle moving back to lightweight.  He has not fought at the weight since being dominated by Khabib Nurmagomedov in October 2018 and has not won at lightweight since November 2016 ... Returning to lightweight has been just one part of Poirier putting the pieces together to become the fighter he always had the potential to be.  Poirier is 6-1 since 2017, the lone loss coming to Nurmagomedov. In that same span, McGregor is 1-1.  Poirier's activity and comfort at lightweight may be a boost to his chances in the rematch with McGregor."

The Decision

We can't pass up a terrific bargain.  This is the very definition of a live underdog, with lots of random variables, so we're betting on Poirier.  McGregor is a great fighter, perhaps the best of all time.  But it's also the twilight of his career.  

Recommendation:  Poirier to win at +330