Five Totals for Your NFL Wagering Consideration

NFL Dec 13, 2020

The NFL schedule offers us 15 games on Sunday and Monday.  This makes for a wonderful menu of betting possibilities.

What follows are ten plays worth considering – five bets on sides and five bets on totals.  This first article (CLICK HERE) focuses on sides only.  This follow-up article lists totals recommendations.

All odds are courtesy of SPREADS.CA:


Tennessee vs. Jacksonville OVER 52 – Titans have surrendered an average of 30 PPG their last four games and won't get a reprieve this week against a Jaguars team that's moving the ball and scoring points, despite a dismal 1-11 record.  Don't be fooled by that W-L disparity though, the Jags have covered in 4/5.  Look for a lot of offense from both sides, especially from the Titans who will seek to avenge a shockingly bad first half last week.  Even a blowout may factor into the OVER here, as Jacksonville airs it out to play catch-up.  Titans are an NFL best OVER team, 9-2-1 sailing over the total this season.  Jags have split their totals, going 6-6.    

Indianapolis vs. Las Vegas OVER 52 – Two teams knocking on the playoff door will match-up, which have potent offenses and defenses that have occasionally been exposed as vulnerable.  Raiders have given up lots of points – 35, 43, and 28 their last three games, the winless Jets among that bunch.  Now, they face a powerful offense that's gone OVER in 6 of their last 8 games.  Two experienced QBs – Carr and Rivers – will also help push the game OVER, which could get into a track meet in the second half if these defenses get worn down.  

Denver vs. Carolina UNDER 45 – Denver's offensive problems are well know.  QB issues, no real deep passing game, and offensive inconsistency make the Broncos easy to corral for most defenses.  However, credit the Denver defense with being above average, their stats skewed by playing a tough schedule (KC, NOR, MIA the last three games, which are a combined 29-9).  Those games all went UNDER.  Broncos get an easier test this week, especially with Carolina RB McCaffrey listed as doubtful.  

New Orleans vs. Philadelphia UNDER 43 – Saints defense has quietly risen to the occasion and carried this team, arguably the NFL's second best, to a 10-2 record, including nine straight wins.  Saints have also played five straight UNDERs, winning games by running the ball, and dominating time of possession.  I see a similar outcome here, especially given the collapse of the Eagles down the stretch.  Philadelphia will start rookie QB Jalen Hurts in this game, certainly playing into an UNDER situation.  Oh, and the Eagles have gone UNDER in six straight.  Looks almost too easy and obvious to bet this total to fall UNDER the number.

Baltimore vs. Cleveland UNDER 47 – The Browns have risen to the top ranks of the NFL because they've made adjustments, particularly on offense.  This team now runs the ball more, resulting in a #2 ranking in rushing.  Oh, and the #1 rushing team in the NFL is – Baltimore.  So, we get two great rushing teams playing a division rivalry game with playoff implications on MNF.  That spells a more conservative game plan for both teams, likely to eat clock and keep the game UNDER this relatively high number.  The Ravens haven't broken 24+ points in five weeks, and Browns last three at home have gone UNDER the total.  Looks like a compelling reason to see those trends continue on Monday night.