Why are NHL Playoff Game Totals So High?

Hockey Aug 03, 2020

The NHL is back!

The puck dropped on Saturday as the 2019-2020 season resumed with playoff hockey in August.

There were some upset and surprises.  However, one tradition held true – games were lower scoring in the playoffs than the regular season.

Consider that ten games have been played, so far.  Eight of those ten games have gone UNDER the total, with 5 goals or less.  A few games soared well over the total, which somewhat skews the league-wide goals per game average.  The bottom line is – there appears to be value in betting UNDER in these early playoff series.

Monday's card includes six games, including an early start 12 noon EST/9 am PST.  All the game totals are 5.5 goals or higher.  Two games are lined at 6.

These totals do seem high for NHL playoff hockey.  Add the prospect that players and teams aren't quite in mid-season form and full game condition, and some messy play might be expected.  Yeah, that's just a theory.  But there appears to be some validity to the supposition, at least so far.

For Monday's action, we're betting UNDER the total in all the games.  There's some extra vig on some of the games, jaded to the UNDER.  However, it appears oddsmakers and the betting public might not have adjusted to the reality that we're now in playoff mode, but players aren't quite up to the level of play that would result in normal scoring.

Here's a look at the odds and totals as of this morning.  Note the Rangers-Hurricanes game is already underway!  Monday morning hockey!

Crazy times.

Check out all the odds at Spreads.ca.


Headline Photo Credit:  ESPN