Will New York Pull a Giant Upset in Minnesota?
The New York Giants went 13-4 ATS overall this season, which was the best record in the NFL.
Here's a look at the latest updated odds on this weekend's NFL playoff games according to Spreads.ca:
SUN: 4:30 ET / 1:30 PT
NY GIANTS at MINNESOTA (-3)
O/U: 48.5
GAME ANALYSIS:
These two teams played a nail-biter on Christmas Eve that was decided on a last-second 61-yard field goal. The Giants outgained the Vikings 445-353, however, they lost the turnover battle (-2).
Minnesota remains a mystery, going 13-4, but also getting outscored by its opposition over the course of the season. So, many consider them a fraud (we agree). But let’s also give the Vikings their due for making the big plays when they’re most needed and running away with the NFC North title by midseason. Somehow, this team just wins.
The Giants are just as much a surprise. No one expected this team to make the playoffs. Incredibly, the Giants are the NFL’s best team against the spread this season.
Let's repeat again: The Giants went 13-4 ATS overall this season, which was the best record in the NFL. Who would have thought the Giants would be a gambler’s best friend? The Giants are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog, so they exceed expectations against superior teams. Moreover, the Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games on the road (and 28-12 ATS in their past 40 games on road dating back the last five seasons). We're not sure how much of this remains valid, but a team that hits 70 percent on the road is a statistical anomaly.
But for those who think taking the Giants plus the points is an automatic decision, incredibly, the Vikings have won 15 straight games (SU) as a betting favorite. Yes, they win. They don’t cover nearly as often. Again, not sure how much weight, if any we should give this, but the Giants have lost 5 in a row SU at Minnesota.
For those interested in the total, the Vikings have been a great OVER bet. The OVER is 11-4 in Minnesota’s last 15 games.
THE PICKS:
With so many variables, we're taking the Giants plus the points. We're also teasing the Giants.
The reasons are simple. We can’t ignore betting markets constantly underestimating the Giants. We also have to be concerned that when Minnesota wins, they do so by razor-thing margins. So, it’s very possible the Vikings win this game, but do not cover.
We’ll grab the points and add an outright upset wouldn't be surprising.
NY Giants +3 (Game Line)
Teaser: NY Giants +9 / Cincinnati -3 (-120)
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ALL ODDS ARE COURTESY OF SPREADS.CA
